tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post1137996993562786648..comments2023-07-09T11:23:36.355-04:00Comments on On Baseball & The Reds: Friday Night Fungoes: Dan Fox, Projections, and the Future, man!jinazhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07697776280178146413noreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-85244085217956934122008-04-21T14:14:00.000-04:002008-04-21T14:14:00.000-04:00Thanks--and I missed the pitchers! I guess I just...Thanks--and I missed the pitchers! I guess I just wasn't paying attention the community forecast for some reason, and overlooked the analysis in each of those posts.<BR/><BR/>CHONE's looking like the route that I'll go moving forward. But you can't really go wrong using any of the free systems (marcel, zips, or chone). -jjinazhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07697776280178146413noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-75756956032616199572008-04-21T12:39:00.000-04:002008-04-21T12:39:00.000-04:00Good recap.I also do the pitchers on my blog:http:...Good recap.<BR/><BR/>I also do the pitchers on my blog:<BR/>http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/article/community_forecast_2007_pitcher_results/Tangotigerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11864323151591103655noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-15422118131663377122008-04-19T21:07:00.000-04:002008-04-19T21:07:00.000-04:00In the world of competitive intelligence, it's all...In the world of competitive intelligence, it's all about connecting dots that are often fuzzy & far apart. And sometimes you need to connect the dots that aren't there.<BR/><BR/>It is sorta like the spook world - you may save the country, but your medal never leaves CIA or NSA hq. It's got to be tough on the scouts - read the book by the old scout from Fostoria, OH, Prophet of the Sandlots (I think).<BR/><BR/>But there is a positive - that this info IS important, whether sabermetric or scouting. If they don't want it shared, it's seen as having value.Norris Kruegerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10215078462139581375noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-80448984920067460802008-04-19T14:51:00.000-04:002008-04-19T14:51:00.000-04:00Thanks for pointing the blackout issues, Justin. O...Thanks for pointing the blackout issues, Justin. On the article, and the mentions on other outlets regarding adjustments to the blackout policy... The adjustments will be coming at the local blackout level. In other words, if say, there is an area of overlap in Oregon (the bottom three counties where the Giants, A's, and Mariners overlap), it will be a "use it or lose it" deal. In that instance, it's possible that the Mariners will get the territory all to themselves. So, this removes some of the blackout issues, but not all. It will depend on whether the fan impacted in an A's, Giants, or Mariners fan... Lastly, don't look for anything at the national level to be changed. Those deals are locked in. Nice that we're all sitting here on the weekend looking at blank screens. For those that don't have a BP subscription, I wrote much of what was in the BP article here: <A HREF="http://www.bizofbaseball.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=2073&Itemid=82" REL="nofollow">Back in Black: Extra Innings and MLB.TV Blackouts</A>Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-17558950135253237532008-04-19T14:33:00.000-04:002008-04-19T14:33:00.000-04:00Regarding academic jobs:1. I have a pretty good id...Regarding academic jobs:<BR/>1. I have a pretty good idea of how these positions work--after all, I've been immersed and closely interfacing with faculty for, what, 9 years (MS + PhD)? Graduate school in the sciences involves a very close relationship with a faculty mentor (and often other committee members), which I know is different from other fields. The only "secrecy" that exists, at least in the track that I'm pursuing, is that one doesn't discuss a students' grades with anyone who doesn't need to know. But that's a privacy issue, not an issue of competition. I'm pretty big on privacy--that's part of the reason I don't use my real name! :) The openness of this field was a major attraction for me when I started down this road over a decade ago.<BR/><BR/>2. One of the reasons that academic research is so effective is that it is so open. The more that people share information, and the more heads thinking about and hands working towards the same end goal, the better. It's also why, I believe, that we see some of the best research in baseball going on at places like The Hardball Times and The Book Blog (and smaller websites), and why Baseball Prospectus is in many ways falling behind the times. I'm sure the teams are doing pretty well given the resources they have to throw at research, but there's a reason that people like Dan Fox, Joe P. Sheehan, etc, keep getting hired: they're some of the best in the world at what they do.<BR/><BR/>3. The first year in my new position might be a bear as I get my lectures set up. After that, life's going to settle down a lot. Even so, this current semester is the hardest I've ever had--writing dissertation, TAing, and (especially) teaching a night class three nights a week. It's been killing me, and the blog is honestly about all that keeps me sane at times. So if I can keep it up this semester, I'm sure I'll be able to keep it up with the new job. :)<BR/><BR/>@Aaron, I'd love to get a link to your blog, either here or via e-mail. :)<BR/><BR/>@Sky, thanks for the typo catch. I agree that this would seem to be the next big thing in bargaining. It's going to be tough to change though--if you triple the minimum salary, for example, that's going to really hurt small market teams...<BR/><BR/>@Chris, I think the Pirates' ownership most important decision was the hiring of Neal Huntington. It was a clear change in direction, and since then they've been making progress. Like Sky says, it might take a good five years to get on the right path--their minor league system is still pretty barren. But I've been pretty impressed with them thus far.<BR/>-jjinazhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07697776280178146413noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-14052955718393341792008-04-19T13:12:00.000-04:002008-04-19T13:12:00.000-04:00Justin -Outstanding work, as always.I responded to...Justin -<BR/><BR/>Outstanding work, as always.<BR/><BR/>I responded to yours and Dave's comments on Butch's blog. I think that you each have valid points but I side with Dave.<BR/><BR/>Thanks for the head's up on the MLB Blackout blog. In the past, I downloaded the MLB blackout database and informed MLB that I lived in some backwater in southern California after building an analysis model to figure out which zip code would allow me to be blacked out of the fewest Reds' games. I got away with it for a year, but in the end I was contacted and "scolded" for my deception. It's tough to live in central Arkansas and be blacked out of eighteen games a year because the Reds are in the same division as the Astros and Cardinals, each 300+ miles away.<BR/><BR/>I applied for the job that Dan Fox took. It's hard for me to think of a more qualified candidate than him, even though it hurts my ego a bit to admit that. I don't know that the Pirates are going to turn things around until their ownership group starts making better decisions, but having Dan around can do nothing but help.<BR/><BR/>Cheers,<BR/>ChrisAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-55929565126016962082008-04-19T11:10:00.000-04:002008-04-19T11:10:00.000-04:00My point is that working in an open peer review en...My point is that working in an open peer review environment is the direct opposite of how a business needs to operate in order to be a step ahead of the competition. <BR/><BR/>It's not awful at all, its just the way it is. Most jobs have have a given level of confidentiality; physicians, therapists, nurses, policeman, lawyers, anyone trying to get a patent, hedge fund managers, and military workers can't discuss in depth their jobs. <BR/><BR/>Any kind of bureaucracy is going to have similarities. I believe you'll find that education is just as bad as a corporation. <BR/><BR/>Love the blog and hope you keep it up when you start working. That being said...............Why would you start cheering for the another team just when we start getting good?????<BR/><BR/>Good luck with the move, as will be a pain in the ass.Dave from Louisvillehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02699384821389899745noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-3936432820593933422008-04-19T10:50:00.000-04:002008-04-19T10:50:00.000-04:00I'm REALLY excited to see what the Pirates do in t...I'm REALLY excited to see what the Pirates do in the next five years. I fully expect them to be the next Indians/Diamondbacks.<BR/><BR/>The signing of young players to long-term contracts will only continue to proliferate, until there's an uprising against have to sacrifice so much future money just to acquire financial security. My guess is that the next big labor disagreement will be about those first six (and especially the first three) team-controlled seasons.<BR/><BR/>(By the way, there's a typo in the second Longoria paragraph. "Less" should be "more". Thanks for the link.)Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-86817989548765421492008-04-19T09:22:00.000-04:002008-04-19T09:22:00.000-04:00That's interesting...I was recently hired as a sco...That's interesting...I was recently hired as a scout for the Cubs (yeah, lifetime Reds fan) and I have also have a site. I've been writing about some similar things...more day to day stuff than anything, and some bits on players already signed. I would never write about a player I was following, but neither did he. <BR/>My boss reads my writing. In fact, I think it's part of the reason I was hired. <BR/><BR/>Also, it's surprising to read scouting and "corporate world." I never thought about it that way...mostly because "the office' is a ballfield for the most part.<BR/>I think you may be surprised how corporate academia can be. I suppose it depends on what kind of academia you're talking about.<BR/>That said, I wish you all the luck. Don't let it take too much time away from this great site.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com