tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post9042979730366655078..comments2023-07-09T11:23:36.355-04:00Comments on On Baseball & The Reds: Was David Ross Just the Victim of Bad Luck?jinazhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07697776280178146413noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-2479237721835688722007-12-20T19:12:00.000-05:002007-12-20T19:12:00.000-05:00The other thing to remember is just how low the ba...The other thing to remember is just how low the bar for catchers is offensively. Of catchers with 250 PA in 2007, 4 had an OPS of over .800 and just 7 more had .750+.<BR/><BR/>Given his average defense and plus arm, a regression to the mean of the "luck" based metrics like BABIP and HR/FB should see Ross back in the upper half of catchers offensively.<BR/><BR/>1 thing to note about BABIP is that it does eliminte HR from the equation. For guys like Ross who don't generally make a lot of contact but hit a lot HR when they do, you'd expect a lower BABIP than the standard LD% + .120 formula. But still nothing like what we saw last year.RedsManRickhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12585911809169263164noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-35156735860753704322007-12-20T16:25:00.000-05:002007-12-20T16:25:00.000-05:00The triple play Ross hit into against Philadelphia...The triple play Ross hit into against Philadelphia sums up his year. A well hit ball but right at the 3B. May he enjoy better luck next year.kenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02385427610608539056noreply@blogger.com