tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post3140012059729533609..comments2023-07-09T11:23:36.355-04:00Comments on On Baseball & The Reds: August 2006 in Reviewjinazhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07697776280178146413noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23241716.post-70950154326944725292006-09-21T17:00:00.000-04:002006-09-21T17:00:00.000-04:00Hi Ken,
Well, I think his first half this year wa...Hi Ken,<br /><br />Well, I think his first half this year was very much an abberation, and was apparently accompanied by all sorts of weird happenings with his manager. But I also don't think he's good enough that we can expect him to keep up his August pace (his September has already been rather rough). I think he's a legitimate low 4's ERA kind of pitcher, much like he was in '05. At 27, he's just entering his prime, and should be a quality guy for at least the next two-three years. He is no where near the sort of fly ball pitcher that Milton is, but I think he was also overachieving a bit in August on that front (hr/9 can fluctuate dramatically in a small sample size -- one HR allowed can make a huge difference). <br /><br />The fact that he has been successful in the AL Central makes him a great pick to do well here in the NL Central--he's moving from one of the two most competitive divisions in baseball to, at least this year, one of the two least competitive divisions. It's not outside the realm of possibility that he could be a legitimate #3 cog in the rotation next year, but I tend to think of him more as a #4 guy. Of course, I thought much the same about Arroyo, and he's proven to be a solid #2 guy. :)<br />-jAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com