The lists I used were:
- Baseball America's J.J. Cooper (top 10)
- Baseball Prospectus (top 10)
- Doug Gray of Redsminorleagues.com (top 25)
- FanGraphs' Dan Farnsworth (top 34)
- John Sickels (top 20)
- MLB.com Pipeline (top 30)
MLB.com's pipeline list is a new addition. I'm not particularly enamored with it, but MLB seems to be putting more and more into its prospect coverage, so it seems appropriate to include them. Notably absent is Keith Law, but I only found his top 10, while his top-20 is behind the paywall. I just decided to skip it.
Now, on to the rankings!
|Rank||Player||Total Pts||# Lists||Avg Rank||Change|
|5||Tyler Stephenson||168||6||7.0||1st Rnd|
|16||Antonio Santillan||79||5||19.2||2nd Rnd|
|19||Blake Trahan||62||3||14.3||3rd Rnd|
|28||Ian Kahaloa||26||2||22.0||5th Rnd|
|29||Jake Cave||23||2||23.5||Rule 5|
|30||Tanner Rainey||16||2||27.0||2nd Rnd|
Not surprisingly, Robert Stephenson (who makes me nervous) and Jesse Winker (who I want to love) remain at the top of the leaderboard. Newcomer Cody Reed clocks in at #3, which is a nice showing for a guy who only starting to raise eyebrows when he was arguably the big prize in last summer's Johnny Cueto trade.
Big Risers include Amir Garrett, who is coming off an outstanding season after finally committing to baseball, and Tyler Mahle, who was quietly brilliant for Dayton last year. Fallers include perpetual underachiever Yorman Rodriguez, who seems low on the Reds' depth chart despite being out of options; Aristides Aquino, who struggled with injuries and underperformance in his first year at A-ball; and, most notably, the plummeting, flaming, catastrophic career of former 1st-round selection Nick Howard, who has yet to show any indication that he knows where the strike zone is.
The Reds have added a lot of talent over the past calendar year. I really like a lot of the guys who came over at the deadline last summer, and that shows up on this list (with Brandon Finnegan missing out because he has lost rookie eligibility). I'm not particularly excited about a lot of the talent they've added this offseason, but they certainly have added some depth. If at least a few of those go on to be useful pieces, then the offseason has to be seen as a passable success.
Quickly, here are those players who appeared last season, but are no longer on this year's list:
- #3 Michael Lorezen (graduated)
- #6 Raisel Iglesias (graduated)
- #8 Anthony DeSclafani (graduated)
- #16 Seth Mejias-Brean (not sure why...ok season, but getting old)
- #19 Tucker Barnhart (graduated)
- #20 Junior Arias (minor league free agent, left for Giants - TY to Doug Gray)
- #24 Daniel Corcino (claimed off waivers)
- #25 Chad Wallach (still around, rough season)
- #26 Ismael Guillon (DFA'd, did not play)
- #27 David Holmberg (graduated)
- #29 Jose Ortiz (released)
- #30 Jeremy Kivel (still around, awful control in 2015)
- #31 Daniel Wright (still around, good peripherals last year)
- #33 Sebastian Elizalde (still around, did not take a step forward)