Tonight was the first run (though I'd already set up the spreadsheets) and required a fair number of tweaks, but even so I was able to get all the stats ready in 35 minutes. I expect that I'll be able to get it down to 20-some minutes in the future, which will let me update these season-to-date stats weekly. I will probably do this in lieu of the monthly Reds reviews I've done over the past few years, as those are just too time consuming and didn't really provide much genuine insight.
I've tried to include notes below each table about the meaning of some of the more obscure statistics, but if you have questions please do not hesitate to ask!
NL Central Update
The Reds' miseries in Pittsburgh amplified it, but over the first two weeks the Reds' offense has been the worst in the NL Central. Fortunately, the pitching has been second-best, which has kept them out of the basement.....Pythagoras has them in third place, for whatever that's worth.
The summed linear weights across all players is 57 runs, which is 6 more than they've scored--almost a half-run per game more. Situational hitting hasn't been good thus far to say the least....Patterson, Bako, Phillips, and Keppinger all had a fine first two weeks.....PrOPS thinks that Bako will turn back into a pumpkin soon, and isn't impressed with Phillips.....On the other hand, PrOPS thinks that Patterson and Keppinger have been legit, and that Dunn, Encarnacion, and Hatteberg have had awful luck thus far.....Dunn and Eddie's line drive rate has been dreadful, though.....Ryan Freel has picked up where he left off last season, and Juan Castro managed to do a tremendous amount of damage to the Reds despite having only 10 PA's.
Total Player Value (Hitting + Fielding)
These fielding estimates have the Reds at +5 runs overall.....Patterson's plus performance at the plate and field has him leading the Reds position players in value, along side the even more surprising Paul Bako.....Jeff Keppinger has kept on hitting, and has been adequate at shortstop.....Votto and Castro's fielding numbers look too high, and are an indication of small sample size issues.....The opposite is (unfortunately) probably not the case with Encarnacion, who comes in well below-replacement level over the first few weeks....unfortunately, the the Reds don't really have other options as long as Gonzalez remains injured.
Base runs predicts the Reds should have given up 49 runs, 1 shy of their actual total.....There's a fairly bimodal distribution here, with great performances and lousy ones, and little in between....Aaron Harang and Johnny Cueto bring top honors, but Cordero and Volquez have been outstanding in less work.....Kudos to Mike Lincoln for a tremendous first two weeks....There are huge mismatches, in the bad way, between ERA and FIP for Mercker, Weathers, and Affeldt, which makes me worry about the bullpen.....Base Runs agrees on Weathers and Affedlt...has Weathers really still not had a strikeout this season?!?
Thanks to the Hardball Times, who supplied most of the statistics used above. ZR data came from ESPN.com.